Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Dave & RQ Referral Projections Updates

It's already that time... What time is that you say? Why, it's Projection Time of course! Here we go again :)

How about a couple of Referral Projections from Dave over at Wren's Story as well as one from the RQ. First up is Dave with two projections, the upcoming June referral projection and his extended referral projections. For those not as familiar with Dave's Referral Estimator, Dave tends to lean towards his AVERAGE model as the more accurate indicator. Be sure to go to Dave's blog to read the specifics as to how he arrives at his projections (and disclaimer).

And while you're there be sure to also read he and Sandy's wonderful blog detailing their personal IA journey for Wren...

Dave's Projection For June Referrals:


Model A

Model B

Model C

Model D

RQ Poll

Average

JUN 08

1/17/2006

1/18/2006

1/17/2006

1/20/2006

1/20/2006

1/18/2006


Dave's Extended Referral Projections:


Model A

Model B

Model C

Model D

RQ Poll

Average

JUL 08

1/20/2006

1/25/2006

1/20/2006

2/6/2006

1/27/2006

1/25/2006

AUG 08

2/6/2006

2/8/2006

1/25/2006

2/14/2006

2/12/2006

2/6/2006

SEP 08

2/14/2006

2/14/2006

2/6/2006

2/22/2006

???

2/14/2006

OCT 08

2/17/2006

2/17/2006

2/9/2006

3/2/2006

???

2/17/2006

NOV 08

2/23/2006

2/27/2006

2/14/2006

3/10/2006

???

2/24/2006

DEC 08

3/3/2006

3/3/2006

2/17/2006

3/20/2006

???

3/3/2006


The Rumor Queen is feeling quite generous with her June (plus) Referral Projections. Considering we are just now coming off of a 3 day referral, her June Projection for a January 23 referral cutoff is sure to make her message board boil over with excited anticipation and the all too often heartache of cutoff disappointment...

RQ Projections For June - August:

050608_analysis.gif

Try to remember, both Dave and RQ are making "Projections" and as such they are just that, Projections.
peace
fm

9 comments:

Mom of 5 said...

Would love to see some kind of speed up !

Vivian M said...

Ugh. I need some of your Limoncello now!

T&W said...

Ya, RQ's Projections made my heart jump! But just for a moment. I'm keeping August in my head.

Tonyia LID 1/27/06

OH MY #6 said...

You are AWESOME to do this work!

Lea

ALLY in China said...

Does it FINALLY feel like you are inching closer? I know it always seemed that we NEVER really made ANY progress when we were waiting. Do you feel like this will REALLY happen? It is so nice to see Jan 06. Just think about ALL of the folks that are behind our late Jan date! Oh my... Lucy

OziMum said...

Hmmm... interesting. Every model (DAve's) has us receiving a referral this year, other than C.

I find that quite comforting, but in my down-mood, am quite skeptical. I work on an average of 5 days a month.

kris said...

Yeah, RQ seems optimistic, gotta love that, but it does suck when the proverbial poop of the truth hits the fan...

either way, you really WILL have a referral soon and I so totally cannot believe it!!!

Mike and Rhonda said...

Should I get my hopes up for a September referral with a 2/13/06 LID? Funny you get excited but yet still remain guarded.

Dawn said...

I hope RQ is right!!!!!!