Saturday, April 05, 2008

Dave's China Referral Estimator Updated

Dave has updated.



Model A
Model B
Model C
Model D
RQ Poll
Average
MAY 08
1/12/2006
1/13/2006
1/12/2006
1/17/2006
1/12/2006
1/13/2006

Above is Dave's estimate for the NEXT referral cutoff. Not going to make a lot of people happy... Remember, don't blame Dave. And remember, it's an estimate.


Model A

Model B

Model C

Model D

RQ Poll

Average

JUN 08

1/20/2006

1/19/2006

1/17/2006

1/25/2006

1/20/2006

1/20/2006

JUL 08

2/6/2006

1/26/2006

1/20/2006

2/9/2006

1/27/2006

1/27/2006

AUG 08

2/9/2006

2/9/2006

1/25/2006

2/17/2006

2/12/2006

2/8/2006

SEP 08

2/14/2006

2/15/2006

2/6/2006

2/27/2006

???

2/15/2006

OCT 08

2/20/2006

2/20/2006

2/9/2006

3/7/2006

???

2/21/2006

NOV 08

2/28/2006

2/28/2006

2/14/2006

3/15/2006

???

2/26/2006

DEC 08

3/3/2006

3/6/2006

2/17/2006

3/23/2006

???

3/3/2006


Plugging in the 9th as April's cutoff, the above is
Dave's estimate for referrals going out to December 08...

peace
fm

8 comments:

Kelley said...

Thanks for updating with Dave's chart! His blog doesn't have a feed, so I can't put in on my Bloglines list...this way, it's OK if I don't remember to check it! :)
(Sigh) with an LID of 1-10-08, we have a LONG LONG LONG wait ahead of us...oh well...at least I knew it when we signed on...

Joannah said...

Your blog looks awesome! I love it.

I'm sorry that they didn't get further this month, but you are getting closer and closer all the time.

:-)

PIPO said...

Love your new look...oh what a great summer it will be for you at long last!

Donna & Joe said...

Well, I don't like the projection for next month at all!! I do LOVE your new blog look though...very nice!

Donna :)

NorasMommy said...

Thanks for posting. I hadn't seen Dave's new projections yet, but it's about what I expected. Getting through 1/12 next month would be a good thing.

I always wanted to go to the Olympics, but this isn't quite what I had in mind...

Jennifer
LID 1/16

Briana's Mom said...

The blog looks awesome!!!

OziMum said...

They seemed to average about 5-6 days last year, so my guess-timate is the 14th. Although the 18th would be AWESOME as our next SA batch would be included (their the 17th!)

Séverine&Stéphane said...

Hello Alyson,
thank you to visit our blog,
your's very interesting.
Like you I'm tired of wait, Dave think we should have our referral in july ... will that be true ???

for me it's time to go bed, it's
22:00 in France.

have a good day
Séverine lid 01/24/06 south France(petitepucepin)